Weekend Reading: Asset Allocation ETF Tips

By Robb Engen | March 30, 2024 |

Asset Allocation ETF Tips

Asset allocation ETFs revolutionized investing for do-it-yourself investors when they were first introduced by Vanguard in 2018.

Prior to the existence of these multi-asset ETFs, passive investors might have opted to follow one of the Canadian Couch Potato’s model portfolios to build their own multi-ETF portfolio (remember the 10-ETF Über-Tuber portfolio?). 

That’s why I say asset allocation ETFs have been such a game changer for self-directed indexers. I take it a step further and say investing complexity has largely been solved with these all-in-one funds.

Many investors agree, as Vanguard’s Growth ETF (VGRO) has taken in $4.84B in assets in six years, while Vanguard’s All Equity ETF (VEQT) has gathered $3.69B in assets in five years of existence. I invest my own money in a single asset allocation ETF in each of my account types.

Despite their growing popularity, myths and misconceptions about asset allocation ETFs frustratingly still persist today.

Just one fund?

The most common push back against moving to an asset allocation ETF is that investors think they’re putting all of their eggs in one basket. But this is just an illusion. Asset allocation ETFs are simply a fund-of-funds that contain 4-8 underlying ETFs. 

Like the old Couch Potato model portfolios, these individual ETFs have just been neatly packaged up into a single, automatically rebalancing product.

It’s also a pretty darn big basket. For instance, VGRO contains more than 13,500 global stocks and 19,000 global bonds.

Finally, holding a single globally diversified ETF is no different than how many Canadians currently invest at their bank branch. Consider most cookie-cutter bank portfolios (like the RBC Select Growth portfolio (RBF459) are also invested in just a single globally diversified mutual fund. 

The big differentiator is that VGRO comes with a total MER of just 0.24% while the RBC Select Growth portfolio charges an almost criminal 2.04% MER (but at least you get a phone call once a year at RRSP season – maybe).

Really, just one?

Okay, so you’ve been convinced that holding an asset allocation ETF is a good idea, but which one?

Vanguard, iShares, BMO, Horizons, TD, Mackenzie, and Fidelity all offer a suite of asset allocation ETFs. And, the suites contain everything from 100% global equities to a conservative 20% equity / 80% bond mix. Shouldn’t you hold a few to spread your risk around?

Umm, no. These products are truly designed to be a one-ticket solution for your portfolio. Pick one that best represents your risk tolerance and time horizon and move on with your life. 

Need help deciding? Watch this:

Here are two scenarios in which I’ll concede that holding multiple asset allocation ETFs makes good sense:

  1. Hedging your bets: Can’t decide between VGRO and XGRO? Hold one in your RRSP and the other in your TFSA (assuming you have the same risk profile in both account types). Or, as a couple, one spouse picks the Vanguard fund and the other spouse picks the iShares fund.
  2. Odds or evens?: Asset allocation ETFs are typically offered in increments of 20%. Meaning, if you are an oddball with a target mix of 90/10, 70/30, or 50/50 you’ll be hard pressed to find a one-fund solution. In this case, split your portfolio evenly between a 100/0 and 80/20 fund to create your desired 90/10 mix. Or hold the 80/20 fund and 60/40 fund to create your 70/30 allocation.

Double-dipping on fees?

Asset allocation ETFs bundle 4-8 individual ETFs into one easy to manage solution and typically charge a fee of between 0.20% to 0.25%. But one common concern for individual investors is whether they’d also be charged the MER on each of the underlying ETFs – essentially double-dipping on the fees.

Let’s put that myth to rest right now. What you see is all there is when it comes to the MER associated with an asset allocation ETF. There are no hidden fees or double-dip charges for the underlying funds.

While you could technically hold the underlying funds yourself at a slightly cheaper cost, you could also pay a slightly higher convenience fee to have those ETFs bundled into one self-rebalancing product.

Ask yourself whether the juice is worth the squeeze when it comes to adding complexity to your portfolio just to save a few basis points of cost.

This Week’s Recap:

Revisit my last weekend reading where I asked where are my customers’ yachts?

From the archives: Here’s how early retirees can more accurately estimate their CPP benefits.

RIP to behavioural psychologist legend Daniel Kahneman, who passed away earlier this week at the age of 90:

Promo of the Week:

Have you noticed that credit card companies have started to communicate with you about when your annual fee is due? I’ve received notifications from American Express and from CIBC in recent weeks, which makes me wonder if this is something that has been regulated or mandated (anybody know?).

I’m all for it, since I often forget to call and cancel a card ahead of the annual fee being charged. 

Speaking of credit cards, I’ll continue to beat the drum about the American Express Cobalt – the best card for everyday spending in Canada with 5x points for food & drink. Sign up and spend $750 per month on this card to get an extra 15,000 Membership Rewards points (plus the 45,000 points you’d earn if you spend $750 per month on a 5x spending category).

Then use your own referral link to refer your spouse or partner (called: activating Player 2), and have them do the same thing. This could be worth a total of 120,000 Membership Rewards points in a year, plus another 10,000 for the referral bonus.

Also, for business owners and side hustlers, the best sign-up bonus in Canada right now is for the American Express Business Gold Card, where you’ll get 75,000 Membership Rewards points when you spend $5,000 within the first 3 months. The annual fee is just $199, which is reasonable for a business card.

Weekend Reading:

How to cope with the RRSP-to-RRIF deadline in your early 70s.

Picking a financial advisor? There are red flags you should know about.

Preet Banerjee on why those most likely to benefit from a budget are least likely to have one.

Sometimes we do stupid shit, and everything works out. On most occasions, it doesn’t.

Ben Felix explains why it’s dangerous to assume that stocks will return 10-12% per year.

More on that assumption here:

Morningstar’s Christine Benz on how to declutter your investor portfolio.

Tales of charlatans and chagrin from the Loonie Doctor blog:

“Before you scoff and claim that it would never be you, know that these stories take in people from all walks of life. Less financially sophisticated people may not recognize the danger. Financially sophisticated people are juicy targets because they have money and are often looking for new ways to invest.”

A well-traveled crew of retirees share their savviest tips and tricks – from travel days to avoid, to must-pack items.

Investment advisor Markus Muhs shares how he invests his money and his own money story.

A cash wedge can make good sense for retired investors, at least from a psychological perspective. A Wealth of Common Sense blogger Ben Carlson looks at the 60/30/10 portfolio.

The wacky negative interest rate experiment never gained traction economically but went on for more than a decade anyway. What was gained? (sub may be required)

Mortgage expert Rob McLister explains why putting discretionary income towards a mortgage is often not the winning play.

Finally, a must-listen podcast on overcoming frugality in retirement and why it takes a bit of a leap of faith to learn to let go and spend your money. 

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Weekend Reading: Where Are My Customers’ Yachts Edition

By Robb Engen | March 16, 2024 |

Where Are My Customers' Yachts Edition

Author Fred Schwed gave us his cynical take-down of Wall Street back in 1940 with the hilariously written, Where Are the Customers’ Yachts?. The book amazingly still holds up today in a world where investment advisors get rich while their customers, well, not so much.

“The title refers to a story about a visitor to New York who admired the yachts of the bankers and brokers. Naively, he asked where all the customers’ yachts were? Of course, none of the customers could afford yachts, even though they dutifully followed the advice of their bankers and brokers.”

I’m an advice-only financial planner who doesn’t manage money or get paid to tell you what to invest in. My goal is to help you navigate the financial minefield and use your resources over time to maximize your life enjoyment.

While my customers may not own any yachts (hey, neither do I!), I do get immense satisfaction helping clients achieve their rich life goals. One client suggested I start collecting postcards from my retired clients’ bucket list trips. Great idea!

It’s true that many retirees have a difficult time spending. I’d argue that the vast majority of my retired clients are capable of spending much more than they are right now.

For instance, if your net worth is projected to increase every single year throughout retirement, that’s a pretty good clue that you can spend more money.

rising net worth projection in retirement

Occasionally I have a breakthrough and can convince a retiree to open up the spending taps a bit. This might be a bucket list trip, a home renovation, a new car, or an early financial gift to their kids or grandkids. I love it!

In the above example, let’s assume the client planned to spend about $38,000 per year after-taxes. Financial projections suggest they can spend up to $58,000 per year without running out of money (and without touching their home equity).

The client has an epiphany. Why live a smaller life than I need to in retirement, only to leave more than $1.3M in my estate for two children who are already established in their careers and have encouraged me to spend my money?

Don’t get me wrong – they don’t suddenly become a spendthrift after decades of frugal living. But they decide it’s not necessary to contribute to their TFSAs annually throughout retirement “just because” and so they re-direct that $7,000 contribution back into their annual spending amount – increasing from $38,000 to $45,000.

This amount is still well below their maximum sustainable spending number, but gives them more breathing room for travel (an annual cruise, perhaps?) and to hire a personal trainer.

They’re also still not touching the $100,000 they currently have invested in their TFSA. That amount will grow to nearly $300,000 by age 85, leaving a healthy and tax-free margin of safety for unplanned spending shocks.

This new spending plan also reduces their total savings and investments to about $500,000 at age 85 (versus $1M in the previous scenario). Still a very comfortable nest egg to fall back on if needed.

It’s a modest example, but these are my customers’ yachts. A realization that you have the ability to live the retirement of your dreams without worrying about running out of money.

This may allow you to snowbird in the US or Mexico for four months of the year, or buy a property in Florida to golf year-round and escape winter. You could take a bucket list trip to see the World Juniors in Sweden, or take that African safari adventure, or climb Machu Picchu in Peru.

Your “yacht” might literally be to buy a boat and sail around the world for a year, or buy a motorhome and visit all of the national parks in North America.

Perhaps your dreams are more philanthropic and you want to give money away to your kids, or to set up an endowment with your favourite charity. Maybe you just want to fund your grandkids’ RESPs, or take the entire family on a hot holiday once a year.

Whatever your version of a yacht is, don’t forget to send me a postcard!

Weekend Reading:

I recently moved my LIRA from TD Direct to Wealthsimple Trade and updated my post on how I invest my own money.

My “controversial” takes on bitcoin, CPP, and dividends from the last Weekend Reading update.

Finally, my latest post for MoneySense shows you how to start saving for retirement at age 45.

Promo of the Week:

Speaking of Wealthsimple Trade, the commission-free self-directed trading platform has slowly started adding more account types such as RRIFs, LIRAs, and LIFs. Supposedly RESPs and RDSPs are on the way soon.

For simple index investors following my one-fund solution using a risk appropriate asset allocation ETF, Wealthsimple Trade is looking better and better.

Get $25 when you fund any Wealthsimple account with my referral code: FWWPDW

Plus you’ll get your reward boosted to $250 if you become a Premium client ($100k) within 30 days and $1,000 if you reach Generation status ($500k).

https://www.wealthsimple.com/invite

Weekend Reading:

New on CBC Marketplace this week, hidden cameras capture bank employees misleading customers and pushing products that help sales targets.

Something I’m keenly watching as my mortgage term expires next month. Variable or short-term fixed mortgage? Where experts see the ‘sweet spot’.

Mortgage broker David Larock says the longer the Bank of Canada takes to cut rates, the lower our variable rate mortgages will go.

Pay off your mortgage early or invest? Morningstar’s Christine Benz takes on this age-old question.

Of Dollars and Data blogger Nick Maggiulli has a clever take on bitcoin as a momentum trade – more people buy, number go up.

Michael Batnick with some smart thoughts on the fear of missing out:

“I have no problem with speculative behavior, but like walking into a casino, you have to know your limits, set them, and then don’t go back to the ATM once you hit that number. Have fun, but be careful out there.”

A Life Income Fund (LIF) is the annoying cousin of the Retirement Income Fund (RRIF), with both minimum AND maximum required withdrawal limits. Adam Chapman shares a neat trick to completely unlock your LIF in just a short period of time.

Speaking of RRIFs and LIFs, Jason Heath explains everything you need to know about these plans and their withdrawal rates.

Here’s a really good piece by Jason Evans about the pros and cons of buying back pensionable service.

A Wealth of Common Sense blogger Ben Carlson shares 20 lessons from 20 years of managing money.

Finally, retirement expert Fred Vettese explains how delaying retirement can boost income for singles (subs).

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Weekend Reading: Bitcoin, CPP, and Dividends Edition

By Robb Engen | March 2, 2024 |

Bitcoin, CPP, and Dividends Edition

The price of bitcoin is surging again and recently surpassed all-time highs. That has brought all of the ‘crypto bros’ out of hibernation to gloat about bitcoin taking over the financial system (or whatever they think happens next).

Shares of NVIDIA Corp are also soaring to new heights. The semi-conductor company recently surpassed $2 trillion in market capitalization to become the third most valuable company in the world (behind Apple and Microsoft).

Surprisingly, shares in NVIDIA have performed even better than bitcoin over the past five-and-10-year periods. In fact, you would have had to own bitcoin in the very early days (2009-12) to have seen better performance than holding shares of NVIDIA stock.

Bitcoin vs NVIDIA

But when I say this on social media, the crypto bros come out in full force telling me all the reasons why bitcoin is superior and investors should get in now before it’s too late.

Hey, at least NVIDIA actually makes and sells something useful.

I’m not one for speculating on assets with lottery-like properties. Usually by the time we hear about how great the investment is, most if not all of the upside has already been captured.

Unfortunately, we can’t go back in time and capture past returns from any stock, coin, real estate market, or any other asset class. 

I say this to caution readers not to get caught up in the next speculative bubble, whether that’s AI or cryptocurrency or the next big thing.

CPP as an investment

Few topics are as divisive in Canada as the Canada Pension Plan. Business owners and self-employed individuals hate it for having to fork over both the employer and employee contributions. People who die early also don’t like CPP and accuse the whole program of theft.

Proponents of CPP say it helps the social safety net and acts as longevity insurance for those who live to a normal to above average life expectancy thanks to its guaranteed, paid-for-life, and indexed-to-inflation properties.

Ben Felix is a huge proponent and argues that CPP is one of the best retirement assets money can buy, despite what the skeptics say.

“The CPP benefit is an inflation-indexed annuity – the only true risk-free asset for a long-term investor.

This is an asset that hedges three of the most important risks that retirees face: longevity risk, inflation risk and sequence-of-returns risk. Inflation-indexed annuities are not available for sale privately in Canada.”

Felix also says a less appreciated aspect of CPP is that it allows investors to take more risk with their other financial assets, increasing their expected returns without increasing their chances of financial ruin.

But, oh the comments! What if I die at 65? Why can’t I opt-out and invest on my own? Business owners get screwed?

The reality:

“We should be happy to have an asset like CPP. Planning to get the most out of it is far more productive than griping about its existence.”

Dividends aren’t free

If you ever get tired of debating bitcoin bros and CPP cranks, there’s always the dividend delusionists.

For the record, I have no problem with dividends. They’re an important part of the stock market’s overall returns. I receive regular dividends from the 13,500+ stocks I own through the globally diversified VEQT (about half the companies pay a dividend).

But dividends are not magic. They’re not free. They get paid out from a company’s earnings, and that payment to shareholders reduces the value of the company by the exact amount of the dividend. 

For some reason this is a concept that many dividend investors fail to understand. One such investor told me:

“Dividends come from earnings or free cash flow. Share price increases only come from someone being willing to pay more today for the same company than they did yesterday.”

I think this is a serious misunderstanding of how the stock market works, especially if you believe that word ‘free’ actually means free.

Investors pay higher prices because they expect higher future returns. Why would you invest in a company that you don’t believe will increase its value in the future?

Promo of the Week:

We enjoyed a week away in Cancun and took advantage of some of our American Express travel benefits on the way there and back.

First, we used the free night certificate that comes with the Marriott Bonvoy Card to stay at the Calgary Marriott in-terminal hotel the night before our early morning flight. This saved us from driving up from Lethbridge super early the day of the flight and made for a stress-free travel day.

At the airport we took advantage of the free lounge access that comes with our American Express Platinum cards. The cost of entry is generally $49 USD per person. We visited the lounge in Calgary and in Cancun, which would have cost us $392 USD or $532 CAD

Finally, we boosted our rewards points earlier this year with the best offer I’ve seen in a while from the American Express Business Gold Rewards Card (<–scroll to the bottom and click “explore other cards”).

Earn a whopping 75,000 Membership Rewards points when you spend $5,000 within the first three months.

Transfer those points to Aeroplan where you can typically redeem them at 2 cents per mile. That’s $1,500 in value ($1,301 when you subtract the $199 annual fee). Not a bad return on $5,000 spending.

Do you need to have an incorporated business to qualify? No! Sole proprietors and side hustlers are welcome.

Sign-up for the American Express Business Gold Rewards Card here.

Weekend Reading:

The Globe & Mail’s Erica Alini says new tax rules have many Canadians in a bind. It’s hard to find an accountant and risky to DIY.

Tim Cestnick explains why spousal RRSPs still have a place in clever planning.

Why Canada’s former chief actuary says you should wait to take your CPP benefits (subs).

An age-old question for Canadians: Should you pay down your mortgage, or fund your RRSP?

Rob Carrick took a deep dive on the OAS clawback: How many people are affected, and how much does it cost them?

Ben Felix looks at home country bias and says it can reduce fees and taxes, it may hedge the cost of local consumption, and it reduces exposure to the potential mistreatment of foreign investors when times get tough:

Last month, for the first time, passively-managed funds controlled more assets than did their actively-managed competitors. Index funds have officially won.

Dare to compare your investment results with your colleagues and friends?

“When people talk about money, it’s like social media posts. They rarely share the bumps and bruises.”

These 15 funds managed to lose value for shareholders even during a generally bullish market.

Michael James on Money discusses private equity’s fantasy returns.

Finally, here’s Ben Carlson’s take on avoiding burnout and a mid-life crisis.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

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